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(2024.05 - 2024.08)
- by Changhai Lu -
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May 1, 2024
In Episode 12 of Carl Sagan's PBS television series Cosmos: A Personal Voyage,
there was a famous sentence: "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." I quoted it in my
recent video regarding UFOs. But when cross-checking, I noticed with surprise that the companion book
of the series, Cosmos, doesn't have this sentence. This is the second time I
encountered such kind of omission in books of this type (the first being in a
Lawrence Krauss book), somewhat disappointing as a book lover.
As a reference, below are the television and book versions in comparison. Although the book version is
not without its own merit, but what was omitted was by far the best sentence, the gem of the paragraph:
[Television Version] What counts is not what sounds plausible, not what we'd like to believe, not what
one or two witnesses claim, but only what supported by hard evidence, rigorously and skeptically examined.
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
[Book Version] The critical issue is the quality of the purported evidence, rigorously and skeptically
scrutinized ‒ not what sounds plausible, not the unsubstantiated testimony of one or two self-professed
eyewitnesses.
May 9, 2024
Mathematics is best known for its certainty and strictness, both of which are unmatched in any other areas
of human reasoning. It is therefore a big surprise to not only ordinary minds but most mathematicians
that it can be proved that many, in fact most, mathematical systems have statements that can neither be
proved nor disproved, and that one can't even prove what seems to be the prerequisite of the
strictness, namely the consistency of those systems. These are called
Gödel's incompleteness theorems in case you are curious.
What about the mathematical systems that are immune from those theorems? Will they stand out as the most
interesting systems? Not at all! According to logician Hao Wang (in his book Reflections on Kurt
Gödel), those systems are immune "only because so little can be expressed in it that its deductive power
catches up with its expressive power.". Theoretical computer scientist Scott Aaronson (in his book
Quantum Computing since Democritus) puts it in a different but equally discouraging
way: "the only mathematical theories pompous enough to prove their own consistency are the ones that don’t have
any consistency to brag about!".
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